Carroll (FW)
Boys - Girls
2014 - 2015 - 2016
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State Rank #7
New Haven Semi-State Rank #1
West Noble Regional Rank #1
Northrop Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 7th place at State Finals
State Champion 1.2%
Top 5 at State Finals 30.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 73.1%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
7  Cameron Clements 12 15:46
35  Carter Meyer 11 16:16
128  Dawson Winters 11 16:42
141  Ben Schwartz 12 16:45
163  Braden Clements 11 16:50
205  Connor Goetz 10 16:57
217  Draven Thompson 9 17:00
252  Wesley Garrison 12 17:05
287  Jacob Redding 11 17:10
340  Cole Powers 9 17:17
428  Zachary Sorg 11 17:27
483  Chris Meyer 12 17:32
576  Jack Just 10 17:40
582  Cory Waldron 9 17:41
634  Isaiah Swain 11 17:44
683  Ethan McCall 10 17:49
742  Hunter Wallace 9 17:53
744  Ben Melendez 12 17:54
Will Terry 10 18:01
Ben Weber 12 18:03
Weston Miser 9 18:07
Cooper Green 9 18:07
Chase Miguel 9 18:11
DateRace Rating
08/22 Huntington Invitational 239
09/05 Marion Invitational 260
09/12 Bruin Invitational 463
09/19 Flashrock Invitational 254
09/26 Culver Invitational 254
10/10 Northrop Sectional 255
10/17 West Noble Regional 231
10/24 New Haven Semi-State 262
10/31 State Finals 217




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100.0% 8.0 256 1.2 4.6 6.9 8.2 9.1 8.6 9.4 8.4 8.8 7.9 7.6 5.9 4.5 3.1 2.4 1.8 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.1 81 90.0 8.1 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.1 60 89.0 9.6 1.1 0.3 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.1 43 92.8 6.7 0.5



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cameron Clements 100% 8.9 0.1 1.0 2.6 5.0 7.0 9.2 9.8 8.3 7.6 7.2 6.2 5.5 4.2 3.7 3.4 3.0 2.4 2.0 1.9 1.6 1.2 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.6 100.0% 100.0%
Carter Meyer 100.0% 42.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.8 1.3 0.0% 91.7%
Dawson Winters 100.0% 106.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 22.0%
Ben Schwartz 100.0% 111.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 16.4%
Braden Clements 100.0% 122.5 0.0% 7.8%
Connor Goetz 100.0% 135.0 0.0% 2.6%
Draven Thompson 100.0% 139.9 0.0% 1.6%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cameron Clements 100% 3.0 3.2 12.2 34.5 22.2 12.3 7.1 3.8 2.1 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Carter Meyer 100% 11.1 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.8 4.8 6.4 7.3 8.5 9.0 9.3 8.3 7.6 7.4 5.9 4.6 3.9 3.3 2.3 1.9 1.4 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.5 99.9%
Dawson Winters 100% 27.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.6 2.1 2.8 3.3 3.5 3.3 3.8 3.9 4.2 4.1 4.3 91.0%
Ben Schwartz 100% 29.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.5 2.9 3.5 3.3 3.6 3.6 3.9 87.1%
Braden Clements 100% 35.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.6 1.4 2.1 2.0 2.2 2.2 75.8%
Connor Goetz 100% 42.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.0 56.1%
Draven Thompson 100% 46.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.8 47.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cameron Clements 100% 1.7 7.0 61.6 20.5 7.7 2.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Carter Meyer 100% 6.4 0.0 5.9 10.5 14.4 14.1 12.5 11.2 9.0 7.4 5.1 3.4 2.4 1.6 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Dawson Winters 100% 16.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.2 2.3 3.2 4.1 5.0 6.3 7.4 7.5 8.1 7.5 7.8 6.8 6.6 5.9 4.4 3.9 2.7 2.1 100.0%
Ben Schwartz 100% 17.9 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.2 2.2 2.9 3.9 4.5 5.7 6.6 7.5 7.6 7.7 7.8 6.8 6.7 5.5 4.8 4.1 3.2 100.0%
Braden Clements 100% 20.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.7 2.0 3.2 4.1 4.6 5.9 6.8 6.8 7.2 7.1 7.2 6.6 6.0 5.2 100.0%
Connor Goetz 100% 24.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.4 3.2 4.1 4.9 5.8 6.3 6.5 6.8 6.6 100.0%
Draven Thompson 100% 26.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.7 2.0 2.6 3.2 4.4 5.2 5.5 6.2 6.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cameron Clements 1.7 7.1 62.2 21.5 7.2 1.6 0.3 0.0
Carter Meyer 5.3 0.0 7.0 13.4 22.4 23.1 19.6 10.1 3.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0
Dawson Winters 10.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.4 9.9 15.7 19.6 16.5 13.0 8.4 4.8 3.1 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Ben Schwartz 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.4 6.3 12.2 17.1 17.4 14.2 10.6 6.9 4.3 2.9 1.9 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1
Braden Clements 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.0 4.5 8.7 12.8 15.4 14.2 12.0 9.4 6.8 4.5 2.8 2.2 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.2
Connor Goetz 14.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.5 4.6 7.2 12.1 12.7 13.8 11.3 8.7 7.2 5.0 4.0 2.8 2.1 1.5 1.1 0.8
Draven Thompson 15.7 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.3 5.1 7.8 11.9 12.9 12.2 10.3 9.3 6.7 5.8 3.8 3.0 2.3 1.6 1.2